Neftchi vs Kaganat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
FTS
0 - 3
NEF
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
NEF
0 - 1
ALG
44%
26%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
NEF
2 - 2
DBI
31%
23%
47%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
NEF
2 - 3
FKA
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
FKA
2 - 0
NEF
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kaganat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
KAG
3 - 1
FKA
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
KAG
2 - 0
FTS
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
FKA
2 - 1
KAG
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
DBI
2 - 2
KAG
61%
18%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 1
ALG
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |