1. Liga Classic round 4

FC Monthey vs Naters analysis

FC Monthey Naters
37 ELO 42
7.6% Tilt 9.6%
6926º General ELO ranking 6435º
75º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
40.2%
FC Monthey
24.8%
Draw
35%
Naters

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
FC Monthey
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35%
Win probability
Naters
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Monthey
-45%
+23%
Naters

Points and table prediction

FC Monthey
Their league position
Naters
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
15º
12º
21
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lancy FC
32
67
53%
Meyrin
34
64
29%
Lausanne Sport II
27
60
31%
CS Chênois
27
54
21.5%
Servette II
20
53
23%
Echallens
23
48
16%
Portalban / Gletterens
25
44
16%
Naters
21
43
17%
Sion II
10º
18
43
20.5%
Yverdon Sport II
11º
16
43
10º
20.5%
Stade Payerne
18
42
11º
18%
FC Monthey
14º
10
29
12º
26.5%
La Sarraz-Eclépens
12º
13
28
13º
34%
Coffrane
13º
11
23
14º
32%
La Chaux-de-Fonds
15º
8
19
15º
37%
FC Koniz
16º
5
14
16º
62.5%
Expected probabilities
FC Monthey
Naters
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
91% 100%
Relegation
9% 0%

ELO progression

FC Monthey
Naters
La Chaux-de-Fonds
Stade Payerne
Sion II
Portalban / Gletterens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Monthey
FC Monthey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2024
MEY
Meyrin
3 - 0
FC Monthey
FCM
47%
23%
30%
38 40 2 0
10 Aug. 2024
FCM
FC Monthey
1 - 1
CS Chênois
CSC
44%
24%
32%
38 41 3 0
03 Aug. 2024
LAC
La Chaux-de-Fonds
3 - 1
FC Monthey
FCM
23%
21%
56%
40 31 9 -2
25 May. 2024
FCC
Coffrane
0 - 4
FC Monthey
FCM
22%
20%
58%
39 28 11 +1
18 May. 2024
FCM
FC Monthey
4 - 1
Terre Sainte
TER
80%
13%
7%
38 24 14 +1

Matches

Naters
Naters
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2024
NAT
Naters
0 - 0
Servette II
SER
35%
24%
42%
41 45 4 0
10 Aug. 2024
LAN
Lancy FC
1 - 0
Naters
NAT
60%
21%
19%
42 46 4 -1
03 Aug. 2024
NAT
Naters
3 - 0
Sion II
SIO
40%
23%
37%
40 41 1 +2
25 May. 2024
LAC
La Chaux-de-Fonds
0 - 2
Naters
NAT
33%
24%
43%
38 33 5 +2
18 May. 2024
NAT
Naters
4 - 2
Echallens
ECH
40%
24%
36%
37 38 1 +1