FC Marco vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2001 |
FCM
1 - 0
RIO
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 0
FCM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
FCM
1 - 4
MAI
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 1
FCM
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
FCM
2 - 1
ESP
41%
25%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
ACA
2 - 1
NAV
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAV
2 - 4
AVE
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CHA
4 - 1
NAV
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NAV
2 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 2
NAV
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |