FC Marco vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
FCM
2 - 1
ESP
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
GON
0 - 1
FCM
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
FCM
2 - 1
OLH
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 1
FCM
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
FCM
3 - 0
AVE
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 0
ALV
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ALV
1 - 0
FEL
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
VAR
3 - 0
ALV
47%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 0
ALV
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 1
GON
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |