Copa Simón Bolívar . Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Libertad Gran Mamoré vs Vaca Díez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
83.9%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+766%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad Gran Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 3
TFU
11%
15%
75%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
TFU
1 - 3
LIB
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
4 - 1
SNF
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SNF
1 - 1
LIB
21%
20%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 0
KIV
21%
19%
60%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Vaca Díez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
VAC
2 - 2
ORU
20%
24%
57%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
ORU
2 - 4
VAC
77%
16%
8%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VAC
3 - 0
SUC
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
SUC
2 - 1
VAC
40%
24%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
SUC
0 - 1
VAC
43%
23%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |