Copa Simón Bolívar . Last 16
Global 5-4
Libertad Gran Mamoré vs Torre Fuerte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
74.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+766%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad Gran Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
TFU
1 - 3
LIB
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
4 - 1
SNF
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SNF
1 - 1
LIB
21%
20%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 0
KIV
21%
19%
60%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
KIV
0 - 0
LIB
79%
13%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Torre Fuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
TFU
1 - 3
LIB
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TFU
1 - 1
KIV
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
KIV
2 - 7
TFU
12%
16%
73%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
TFU
2 - 2
SNF
91%
7%
2%
|
30 | 6 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
CDF
0 - 0
TFU
4%
10%
85%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |