Copa Simón Bolívar . 1/16
Global 1-2
Libertad Gran Mamoré vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+917%
+248%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad Gran Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CNS
1 - 0
LIB
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
KIV
2 - 0
LIB
43%
22%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
VRS
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 4
LIB
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 0
KIV
46%
22%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CNS
1 - 0
LIB
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TFU
1 - 1
CNS
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
CNS
1 - 1
CDA
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 3
CNS
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
CNS
1 - 1
TFU
10%
15%
75%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +1 |