Köniz II vs Lerchenfeld analysis


21	ELO	22
-0.6%	Tilt	0%
39890º	General ELO ranking	26902º
441º	Country ELO ranking	255º
ELO win probability

42.1%

Köniz II

20.7%

Draw

37.2%

Lerchenfeld

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

42.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%

20.7%

Draw

0-0

1.9%

1-1

7.4%

2-2

7.3%

3-3

3.2%

4-4

0.8%

5-5

0.1%

6-6

<0%

0

20.7%

37.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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