Copa MX . Last 16
Global 5-4
FC Juárez vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
JUA
3 - 0
MOR
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
QRO
3 - 2
JUA
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
JUA
4 - 4
PUM
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
JUA
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
JUA
7 - 0
PUE
78%
16%
7%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PUE
0 - 1
QRO
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
QRO
3 - 2
JUA
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
QRO
3 - 0
TIJ
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LEO
3 - 1
QRO
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
QRO
2 - 3
NEC
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -2 |