Apertura Ascenso MX . Final
Global 2-2
FC Juárez vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 0
JUA
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
JUA
3 - 2
TAM
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 2
JUA
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 0
MER
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
MER
0 - 2
JUA
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 0
JUA
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 1
ALE
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 0
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
ALE
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
3 - 1
CAÑ
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |