FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ORD
1 - 1
FCI
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ZHE
1 - 0
FCI
21%
27%
53%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 3
FCI
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FCI
1 - 1
TOB
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 0
FCI
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AST
2 - 0
OKZ
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AST
0 - 0
KAI
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HSV
0 - 0
AST
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
KAI
2 - 3
AST
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
FCA
3 - 0
AST
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |