Ingolstadt 04 vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
SVS
0 - 2
ING
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ING
0 - 0
FCN
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
DAR
6 - 1
ING
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
ING
2 - 1
ERZ
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ING
1 - 2
HEI
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 0
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
3 - 0
ROS
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
KSC
0 - 0
BRE
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 4
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
OSN
2 - 0
BRE
15%
19%
67%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |