Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
STP
4 - 1
ING
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ING
0 - 3
BRE
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
SVS
0 - 2
ING
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ING
0 - 0
FCN
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
DAR
6 - 1
ING
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
F95
1 - 1
SSV
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 1
F95
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
F95
1 - 0
STR
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
S04
3 - 1
F95
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
F95
2 - 2
HOL
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |