Ingolstadt 04 vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 1
ING
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
ANS
1 - 1
ING
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
MEM
1 - 2
ING
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
ING
0 - 2
ISM
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
NUR
2 - 1
ING
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BAY
4 - 1
JRE
59%
21%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 0
WEI
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
TSV
0 - 0
BAY
38%
25%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BAY
1 - 0
UNT
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BAY
3 - 0
GRE
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |