FC Gueugnon vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 0
FCG
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
FCG
0 - 0
DIJ
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
IST
0 - 1
FCG
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
FCG
1 - 1
STL
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SED
2 - 0
FCG
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
CAE
1 - 0
STR
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
CLE
0 - 3
CAE
21%
26%
53%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
IST
0 - 0
CAE
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
CAE
1 - 1
GRE
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
DIJ
0 - 2
CAE
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |