Eredivisie . Jor. 8

Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis

Groningen AZ Alkmaar
70 ELO 86
-16.3% Tilt 15.9%
803º General ELO ranking 78º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12.4%
Groningen
20.7%
Draw
66.9%
AZ Alkmaar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
Groningen
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
66.9%
Win probability
AZ Alkmaar
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Groningen
+46%
-11%
AZ Alkmaar

Points and table prediction

Groningen
Their league position
AZ Alkmaar
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
18º
18º
67
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Feyenoord
82
82
100%
PSV
75
75
100%
Ajax
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
67
67
100%
Twente
64
64
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
59
59
100%
Utrecht
54
54
100%
Heerenveen
46
46
100%
RKC Waalwijk
41
41
100%
Vitesse
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
11º
40
40
11º
100%
NEC Nijmegen
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Fortuna Sittard
13º
36
36
13º
0%
FC Volendam
14º
36
36
14º
0%
Excelsior
15º
32
32
15º
100%
Emmen
16º
28
28
16º
100%
Cambuur
17º
19
19
17º
100%
Groningen
18º
18
18
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Groningen
Groningen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2022
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 1
Groningen
GRO
39%
26%
36%
70 70 0 0
11 Sep. 2022
BVO
Cambuur
0 - 1
Groningen
GRO
46%
24%
30%
70 71 1 0
04 Sep. 2022
GRO
Groningen
0 - 1
Vitesse
VIT
24%
26%
51%
70 78 8 0
26 Aug. 2022
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
1 - 1
Groningen
GRO
30%
26%
44%
70 67 3 0
21 Aug. 2022
GRO
Groningen
1 - 0
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
37%
28%
34%
70 69 1 0

Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2022
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 1
Ajax
AJA
33%
24%
43%
86 88 2 0
15 Sep. 2022
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
4 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
72%
16%
11%
86 65 21 0
11 Sep. 2022
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
Twente
TWE
58%
22%
20%
86 80 6 0
08 Sep. 2022
SKD
Dnipro-1
0 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
26%
24%
50%
86 78 8 0
04 Sep. 2022
FCE
Emmen
0 - 3
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
20%
23%
58%
86 74 12 0
X