Gambarogno - Contone vs SC Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
12º
7º
33
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 65 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 61 |
2º
|
71.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
67% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 50 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 40 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 39 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 30 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 29 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 28 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
80% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambarogno - Contone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 1
FCC
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 2
FCC
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ZOF
1 - 0
FCC
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
LUZ
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 2
FCC
76%
16%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SCE
4 - 0
GOL
56%
19%
25%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
4 - 0
SCE
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SCE
2 - 0
PER
48%
22%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BUO
1 - 1
SCE
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
4 - 2
SCE
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |