Galaxy vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GAL
1 - 0
LDF
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LDF
1 - 0
GAL
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
KLI
1 - 0
GAL
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LIO
2 - 1
GAL
59%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GAL
1 - 2
MFC
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MFC
3 - 0
LIO
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LIO
3 - 0
MFC
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MAT
3 - 1
LIO
49%
28%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LIO
2 - 1
GAL
59%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MSW
1 - 0
LIO
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |