Forward vs Italien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SIE
2 - 1
FCF
24%
20%
56%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCF
0 - 2
COL
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
VEY
3 - 0
FCF
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCF
1 - 2
GEN
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FCS
3 - 1
FCF
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 0
ITA
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
7 - 2
SIE
82%
11%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COL
4 - 1
ITA
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 4
VEY
49%
21%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 5
ITA
14%
17%
69%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |