Viareggio vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ARG
0 - 2
FCV
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FCV
3 - 1
URI
61%
20%
20%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VMO
1 - 2
FCV
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FCV
0 - 0
USR
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SCA
4 - 1
FCV
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAV
2 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SDT
0 - 1
SAV
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAV
3 - 0
SER
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GHI
1 - 1
SAV
30%
22%
49%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAV
2 - 0
FBC
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |