Viareggio vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
FCV
57%
25%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
FCV
0 - 0
ASS
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
COM
1 - 1
FCV
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 0
ASF
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 0
FCV
74%
18%
8%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRG
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PRG
3 - 1
COM
64%
24%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
USA
1 - 0
PRG
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PRG
2 - 1
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
PRG
1 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |