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2. Liga. Matchday 34

Erzgebirge Aue VfL Osnabrück
55 ELO 51
23% Tilt 11%
702º General ELO ranking 876º
36º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
57.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
22.3%
Draw
20.4%
VfL Osnabrück

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.4%
Win probability
VfL Osnabrück
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erzgebirge Aue
+10%
-8%
VfL Osnabrück

Basic stats

52
48
POS
19
13
SOT
12
6
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
8
19
FRK
55
51
ELO
1.9
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Erzgebirge Aue
Their league position
VfL Osnabrück
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
12º
11º
33
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
VfL Bochum
67
67
100%
Greuther Fürth
64
64
100%
Holstein Kiel
62
62
100%
Hamburger SV
58
58
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
56
56
100%
Karlsruher SC
52
52
100%
Darmstadt 98
51
51
50%
Heidenheim
51
51
50%
Paderborn
47
47
50%
FC St. Pauli
10º
47
47
10º
50%
Nürnberg
11º
44
44
12º
50%
Erzgebirge Aue
12º
44
44
11º
50%
Hannover 96
13º
42
42
13º
100%
Jahn Regensburg
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Sandhausen
15º
34
34
15º
100%
VfL Osnabrück
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Braunschweig
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Würzburger Kickers
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Erzgebirge Aue
VfL Osnabrück
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
Ingolstadt 04
ING
Viktoria Plzeň
VKP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ERZ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2021
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
52%
25%
22%
1145 1338 193 -8
09 May. 2021
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 8
Paderborn
PAD
46%
27%
28%
1157 1277 -120 -11
26 Apr. 2021
KSC
Karlsruher SC
0 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
52%
25%
22%
1155 1340 185 +1
23 Apr. 2021
EBT
Braunschweig
0 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
46%
27%
27%
1147 1069 -78 +9
20 Apr. 2021
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 1
Nürnberg
FCN
42%
27%
31%
1152 1384 -232 -5

Matches

VfL Osnabrück
VfL Osnabrück
1%
X%
2%
ELO OSN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2021
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
3 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
35%
27%
38%
993 1517 -524 +8
08 May. 2021
WUR
Würzburger Kickers
1 - 3
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
46%
27%
28%
985 892 -93 +9
24 Apr. 2021
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
1 - 3
Holstein Kiel
HOL
40%
28%
32%
992 1285 -293 -7
21 Apr. 2021
PAD
Paderborn
2 - 2
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
55%
25%
20%
991 1273 282 +2
18 Apr. 2021
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
0 - 3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
39%
27%
34%
999 1324 -325 -8