Erzgebirge Aue vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 1
F95
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ERZ
6 - 0
HAL
41%
23%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
3 - 0
ERZ
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 3
SVS
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
S04
1 - 1
ERZ
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 1
S04
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
GUT
2 - 5
PAD
3%
10%
86%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SGD
0 - 3
PAD
36%
26%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAD
3 - 1
STP
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 4
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |