Erzgebirge Aue vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WUR
0 - 3
ERZ
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ULM
2 - 0
ERZ
11%
17%
72%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ERZ
0 - 1
SGD
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
ERZ
3 - 1
MAG
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
ERZ
4 - 0
POG
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SGF
1 - 1
OSN
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MEI
1 - 6
SGF
4%
9%
87%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
MON
0 - 2
SGF
79%
14%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
HOF
1 - 0
SGF
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
SGF
3 - 0
UNT
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |