Erzgebirge Aue vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ERZ
6 - 0
HAL
41%
23%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
3 - 0
ERZ
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 3
SVS
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
S04
1 - 1
ERZ
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
ING
2 - 1
ERZ
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
F95
1 - 0
STR
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
S04
3 - 1
F95
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
F95
2 - 2
HOL
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 0
F95
24%
23%
53%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VFL
0 - 5
F95
3%
8%
89%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |