Erzgebirge Aue vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 1
ERZ
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ERZ
3 - 1
EBT
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
ERZ
4 - 1
KSC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
STP
2 - 2
ERZ
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
EBT
0 - 0
F95
15%
19%
65%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
F95
2 - 1
PAD
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ROT
3 - 2
F95
12%
17%
71%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
STP
0 - 3
F95
15%
20%
65%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
F95
3 - 0
OSN
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |