Erzgebirge Aue vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 3
STP
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SSV
1 - 1
ERZ
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ERZ
2 - 0
SVS
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DAR
4 - 1
ERZ
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 1
HAN
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
WUR
1 - 1
FCN
31%
25%
45%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 1
PAD
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
M05
2 - 2
FCN
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SGF
2 - 2
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 1
OSN
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |