Ensdorf vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ensdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
EBK
3 - 0
FCE
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
FCE
1 - 1
ASL
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
SUL
0 - 0
FCE
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
FCE
0 - 2
VBT
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
FVS
2 - 1
FCE
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
M05
3 - 2
HOM
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
BNE
2 - 0
M05
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
EBK
3 - 2
M05
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
M05
2 - 3
ASL
76%
15%
8%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
SUL
2 - 3
M05
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |