FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
67%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
EIN
2 - 2
FCO
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
EIN
3 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
ALK
2 - 4
EIN
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 1
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
GAE
3 - 1
EIN
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
GRA
3 - 1
HEL
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
DET
1 - 4
GRA
5%
11%
84%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GAE
1 - 2
GRA
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
5 - 1
ALK
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 2
GRA
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |