Dordrecht vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
73.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
ASW
1 - 0
FCD
19%
20%
61%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
FCD
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
HEL
1 - 1
FCD
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
RJC
5 - 0
FCD
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 2
GRA
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
BAR
82%
14%
5%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
SCH
25%
21%
54%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPA
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 1
RJC
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FEY
7 - 1
NAC
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |