Dordrecht vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
FCO
1 - 3
FCD
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 2
ALM
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
JUT
1 - 1
FCD
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 0
EIN
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
JON
2 - 0
FCD
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJC
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
PSV
2 - 3
GRA
25%
24%
52%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 1
GRA
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
GRA
3 - 2
MVV
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 2
GRA
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |