FC Deren vs Ulaanbaatar City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ERC
1 - 1
DER
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
DER
2 - 3
ULA
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 0
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DER
0 - 1
TBF
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ATF
0 - 2
DER
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ulaanbaatar City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ULC
1 - 1
ATF
52%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
KHC
1 - 4
ULC
24%
20%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ULC
8 - 0
BCH
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
KHA
0 - 1
ULC
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TBF
1 - 4
ULC
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |