FC Deren vs Tuv Azarganuud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ULA
1 - 2
DER
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ERC
0 - 5
DER
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
DER
3 - 1
KHA
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
KHO
1 - 2
DER
17%
19%
64%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
DER
3 - 0
ULC
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tuv Azarganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
KHC
2 - 4
TBF
65%
17%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
BCH
2 - 8
TBF
7%
12%
81%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
TBF
1 - 7
ULA
39%
21%
40%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ERC
2 - 4
TBF
43%
21%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TBF
3 - 2
DER
44%
21%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |