Den Bosch vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
EIN
1 - 0
BOS
42%
24%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 3
JON
38%
23%
40%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
PSV
0 - 1
BOS
43%
24%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 0
HEL
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
BOS
0 - 1
TIE
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
JON
1 - 2
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 1
VOL
36%
25%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCO
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
SPA
29%
23%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |