Den Bosch vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 2
FCO
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 0
BVO
29%
24%
48%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
BOS
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
BOS
0 - 1
TEL
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
BOS
0 - 2
ALM
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
VVV
1 - 4
AZA
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AZA
4 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
AZA
0 - 3
TWE
38%
25%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
FCD
2 - 4
AZA
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AZA
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |