De Bilt vs BOL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
53.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
11º
10º
55
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Bilt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 2
FCD
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FCD
2 - 3
NSC
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SDC
3 - 0
FCD
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 0
ZUI
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NUN
2 - 1
FCD
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 3
MON
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ZOB
1 - 4
BOL
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 3
ROD
46%
21%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VVM
0 - 3
BOL
15%
17%
68%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 1
OLY
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |