Crotone vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
PAL
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 0
CRO
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 1
JUS
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LAT
2 - 3
CRO
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 1
EMP
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
SIE
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 4
SIE
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 2
SIE
21%
27%
53%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 0
LAT
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |