Crotone vs Real Fondo Gesu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 0
FIO
22%
25%
54%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
CRO
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 1
VER
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ROM
5 - 0
CRO
79%
13%
8%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 2
INT
10%
20%
70%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Real Fondo Gesu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CRO
20 - 0
RFG
89%
9%
2%
|
8 | 73 | 65 | 0 |