Crotone vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
POR
3 - 3
CRO
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
CRO
3 - 1
USC
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
CRO
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CRO
1 - 2
TER
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 1
CRO
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 2
USA
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAR
39%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
ASC
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 3
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |