Crotone vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
CRO
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 1
VER
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ROM
5 - 0
CRO
79%
13%
8%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 2
INT
10%
20%
70%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
3 - 4
CRO
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 2
NAP
26%
24%
49%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 0
FIO
32%
25%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 3
FIO
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 1
JUV
16%
22%
62%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |