Crotone vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 1
CRO
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 0
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 1
AVE
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PES
4 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
TOR
4 - 1
CES
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
CES
1 - 0
PES
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 1
CES
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 0
CES
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |