Collina d'Oro vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
7º
3º
32
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 2
FCC
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 2
IBA
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 0
FCC
8%
13%
79%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 2
MEN
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
FCC
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
FCS
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 2
FCS
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
ASC
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRU
3 - 2
FCS
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZUG
2 - 1
FCS
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |