Cincinnati vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.9%
78.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
18%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
13%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CIN
3 - 0
PNN
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 3
CIN
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 0
RIC
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 0
CIN
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ORL
1 - 1
CIN
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
VCF
0 - 2
NYC
82%
12%
5%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
SCP
0 - 3
VCF
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
LAU
0 - 5
VCF
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VCF
1 - 3
VIL
58%
23%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 1
VCF
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |