Cincinnati vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CIN
0 - 1
IMI
31%
30%
39%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
COC
3 - 2
CIN
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NER
4 - 1
CIN
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
CIN
0 - 0
MON
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CIN
1 - 1
ORL
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
TOR
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
IMI
3 - 1
TOR
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 2
NER
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 2
NYC
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |