Cincinnati vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
65.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
CIN
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CIN
2 - 3
IMI
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ORL
3 - 0
CIN
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NYC
5 - 0
CIN
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NSC
2 - 2
CIN
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
NER
3 - 1
RBN
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
NER
1 - 0
COC
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
PHU
1 - 1
NER
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NSC
2 - 0
NER
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NER
2 - 1
AFC
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |