Catanzaro vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
25.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
ANC
0 - 0
FCC
52%
29%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 0
COM
40%
32%
28%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 1
FCC
48%
31%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
55%
27%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
COS
0 - 0
FCC
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 0
TRI
62%
26%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
CAG
2 - 2
PAR
40%
32%
28%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 1
AVE
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 0
BRE
54%
29%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
TOR
0 - 0
PAR
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |