Catanzaro vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
USV
0 - 0
FCC
28%
29%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FCC
3 - 0
REN
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 5
FCC
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 1
FCC
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 1
SIR
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
BIS
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
RIE
54%
26%
21%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 2
CAS
35%
29%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SIC
59%
25%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 0
CAS
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |