Castiglione vs AC Giacomense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VNZ
0 - 1
FCC
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
VIN
55%
24%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCC
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
ACC
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
FCC
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AC Giacomense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACG
1 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 1
ACG
77%
16%
8%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACG
2 - 2
USP
42%
26%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RIM
0 - 0
ACG
68%
19%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
REN
3 - 1
ACG
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |