Bazenheid vs Weesen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
16º
10º
21
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WIL
4 - 0
BAZ
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAZ
0 - 1
DSG
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 1
BAZ
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BAZ
0 - 1
UST
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 1
BAZ
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCW
4 - 4
FCR
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 3
UST
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 3
TAV
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
WIN
5 - 1
FCW
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 2
ESC
23%
20%
56%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |