Switzerland U18 Elite League Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
FC Basel U18 vs Aarau U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TAA
3 - 3
FCB
11%
14%
75%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NXA
1 - 4
FCB
4%
8%
88%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCB
5 - 0
FCZ
65%
18%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TWC
0 - 3
FCB
21%
18%
61%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 3
BYB
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TAA
3 - 3
FCB
11%
14%
75%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TAA
3 - 1
GCZ
51%
20%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
TTI
0 - 3
TAA
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TAA
1 - 0
FCS
40%
22%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 1
TAA
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |